Big part of this follows from the
Law of logarithmic returns:
In areas of endeavour with many disparate problems, the returns in that area will tend to vary logarithmically with the resources invested (over a reasonable range).
which itself can be derived from a very natural prior about the distribution of problem difficulties, so, yes, it should be the null hypothesis.
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Big part of this follows from the
which itself can be derived from a very natural prior about the distribution of problem difficulties, so, yes, it should be the null hypothesis.