Yes, those metrics seem to indicate that you would actually gain status with broad knowledge of your prediction performance ;)
.129 for metaculus prediction and .124
That’s suprising to me. I thought the metaculus prediction is generally better then the community prediction?
Yes, those metrics seem to indicate that you would actually gain status with broad knowledge of your prediction performance ;)
That’s suprising to me. I thought the metaculus prediction is generally better then the community prediction?