Curious what you think of Scott Alexander’s Peter Turchin-inspired ‘cyclic model’ alternative to Chapman’s model, which he argues better matches his experience, summarizable as precycle → growth (forward + upward + outward) → involution → postcycle:
Either through good luck or poor observational skills, I’ve never seen a lot of sociopath takeovers. Instead, I’ve seen a gradual process of declining asabiyyah. Good people start out working together, then work together a little less, then turn on each other, all while staying good people and thinking they alone embody the true spirit of the movement.
Curious what you think of Scott Alexander’s Peter Turchin-inspired ‘cyclic model’ alternative to Chapman’s model, which he argues better matches his experience, summarizable as precycle → growth (forward + upward + outward) → involution → postcycle: