No problem, answering questions is the point of this post. 😅
It would be super helpful if you fill out your LVPM playground page in the near future with a functional AMM to let people probe at the system.
The playground page already has this. If you scroll down to the bottom of the page, you will see this info:
To play with the payout and get an intuition for it, you can use the checkboxes below. Your bets have currently cost proportional to 0 Mana, and if the outcome below happens, you get a payout proportional to 0 Mana, for a total profit proportional to 0 Mana.
Japan hyperinflation by 2030?
US hyperinflation by 2030?
Ukraine hyperinflation by 2030?
If you make bets, then the numbers in this section get updated with the costs and the payouts.
But I guess my interface probably isn’t very friendly overall, even if it is there. 😅
What do you mean by unidimensional cases? So like if the binary LVPM Y is made up of binary markets X1 to XN , I would have called that an N-dimensional case, since the PDF is N-dimensional. How many symmetries and “possible convergences” does this Y have?
I am talking about the dimensionality of Y, not the dimensionality of →X.
In the markets I described in the post and implemented for my demo, Y is always one-dimensional. However, it is possible to make more advance implementations where Y can be multidimensional. For instance in the uncertainty about the outcome of the Ukraine war, there is probably not just a Ukraine wins <-> Russia wins axis, but also a war ends <-> war continues axis.
No problem, answering questions is the point of this post. 😅
The playground page already has this. If you scroll down to the bottom of the page, you will see this info:
If you make bets, then the numbers in this section get updated with the costs and the payouts.
But I guess my interface probably isn’t very friendly overall, even if it is there. 😅
I am talking about the dimensionality of Y, not the dimensionality of →X.
In the markets I described in the post and implemented for my demo, Y is always one-dimensional. However, it is possible to make more advance implementations where Y can be multidimensional. For instance in the uncertainty about the outcome of the Ukraine war, there is probably not just a Ukraine wins <-> Russia wins axis, but also a war ends <-> war continues axis.