Note also that its’ impossible to determine “a majority of predictions to be oveconfident” as a literal statement. A prediction is only right or wrong, overconfidence can only be looked at in terms of the aggregate (which is what I meant in the original post).
Note also that its’ impossible to determine “a majority of predictions to be oveconfident” as a literal statement. A prediction is only right or wrong, overconfidence can only be looked at in terms of the aggregate (which is what I meant in the original post).