If you read the linked tweet (https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1500863629490544645), it’s talking about the persuasion/convincing/pushing you need in addition to whatever raw data makes it possible to reach the conclusion; it’s not saying that humans can get by without any Bayesian evidence about the external world.
I did read the linked tweet, and now that you bring it up, my third sentence doesn’t apply. But I think my first & second sentences do still apply (ignoring Eliezer’s recent clarification).
If you read the linked tweet (https://twitter.com/ESYudkowsky/status/1500863629490544645), it’s talking about the persuasion/convincing/pushing you need in addition to whatever raw data makes it possible to reach the conclusion; it’s not saying that humans can get by without any Bayesian evidence about the external world.
I did read the linked tweet, and now that you bring it up, my third sentence doesn’t apply. But I think my first & second sentences do still apply (ignoring Eliezer’s recent clarification).