This is not at all analogous to the point I’m making. I’m saying Eliezer likely did not arrive at his conclusions in complete isolation to the outside world. This should not change the credence you put on his conclusions except to the extent you were updating on the fact it’s Eliezer saying it, and the fact that he made this false claim means that you should update less on other things Eliezer claims.
This is not at all analogous to the point I’m making. I’m saying Eliezer likely did not arrive at his conclusions in complete isolation to the outside world. This should not change the credence you put on his conclusions except to the extent you were updating on the fact it’s Eliezer saying it, and the fact that he made this false claim means that you should update less on other things Eliezer claims.
I deleted it after posting for a different reason