There’s a lot here and if my existing writing didn’t answer your questions, I’m not optimistic another comment will help[1]. Instead, how about we find something to bet on? It’s difficult to identify something both cruxy and measurable, but here are two ideas:
I see a pattern of: 1. CEA takes some action with the best of intentions 2. It takes a few years for the toll to come out, but eventually there’s a negative consensus on it. 3. A representative of CEA agrees the negative consensus is deserved, but since it occurred under old leadership, doesn’t think anyone should draw conclusions about new leadership from it. 4. CEA announces new program with the best of intentions.
So I would bet that within 3 years, a CEA representative will repudiate a major project occurring under Zach’s watch.
I would also bet on more posts similar to Bad Omens in Current Community Building or University Groups Need Fixing coming out in a few years, talking about 2024 recruiting.
Thanks! I’m down to bet, though I don’t feel like it would make sense for me to take either of those specific bets. I feel pretty clueless about whether “a CEA representative will repudiate a major project occurring under Zach’s watch”. I guess I think it’s reasonable for someone who was just hired at CEA to not to be held personally responsible for projects that started and ended before they were hired (though I may be misunderstanding your proposed bet). I also have very little information about the current state of EA university group recruiting, so I wouldn’t be that surprised if “more posts similar to Bad Omens in Current Community Building or University Groups Need Fixing coming out in a few years, talking about 2024 recruiting”. TBH I’m still not clear on what we disagree about, or even whether we actually disagree about anything. 😅
Apologies if I wasn’t clear about this, but my main comment was primarily a summary of my personal perspective, which is based on a tiny fraction of all the relevant information. I’m very open to the possibility that, for example, EA university group recruiting is pressuring students more than I would find appropriate. It’s just that, based on the tiny fraction of information I have, I see no evidence of that and only see evidence of the opposite. I would be really interested to hear if you have done a recent investigation and have evidence to support your claims, because you would have a fair chance of convincing me to take some action.
Anyway, I appreciate you responding and no worries if you want to drop this. :) My offer to chat synchronously still stands, if you’re ever interested. Though since I’m in an interim position, I’m not sure how long I will have the “EA Forum Project Lead” title.
There’s a lot here and if my existing writing didn’t answer your questions, I’m not optimistic another comment will help[1]. Instead, how about we find something to bet on? It’s difficult to identify something both cruxy and measurable, but here are two ideas:
I see a pattern of:
1. CEA takes some action with the best of intentions
2. It takes a few years for the toll to come out, but eventually there’s a negative consensus on it.
3. A representative of CEA agrees the negative consensus is deserved, but since it occurred under old leadership, doesn’t think anyone should draw conclusions about new leadership from it.
4. CEA announces new program with the best of intentions.
So I would bet that within 3 years, a CEA representative will repudiate a major project occurring under Zach’s watch.
I would also bet on more posts similar to Bad Omens in Current Community Building or University Groups Need Fixing coming out in a few years, talking about 2024 recruiting.
Although you might like Change my mind: Veganism entails trade-offs, and health is one of the axes (the predecessor to EA Vegan Advocacy is not Truthseeking) and Truthseeking when your disagreements lie in moral philosophy and Love, Reverence, and Life (dialogues with a vegan commenter on the same post)
Thanks! I’m down to bet, though I don’t feel like it would make sense for me to take either of those specific bets. I feel pretty clueless about whether “a CEA representative will repudiate a major project occurring under Zach’s watch”. I guess I think it’s reasonable for someone who was just hired at CEA to not to be held personally responsible for projects that started and ended before they were hired (though I may be misunderstanding your proposed bet). I also have very little information about the current state of EA university group recruiting, so I wouldn’t be that surprised if “more posts similar to Bad Omens in Current Community Building or University Groups Need Fixing coming out in a few years, talking about 2024 recruiting”. TBH I’m still not clear on what we disagree about, or even whether we actually disagree about anything. 😅
Apologies if I wasn’t clear about this, but my main comment was primarily a summary of my personal perspective, which is based on a tiny fraction of all the relevant information. I’m very open to the possibility that, for example, EA university group recruiting is pressuring students more than I would find appropriate. It’s just that, based on the tiny fraction of information I have, I see no evidence of that and only see evidence of the opposite. I would be really interested to hear if you have done a recent investigation and have evidence to support your claims, because you would have a fair chance of convincing me to take some action.
Anyway, I appreciate you responding and no worries if you want to drop this. :) My offer to chat synchronously still stands, if you’re ever interested. Though since I’m in an interim position, I’m not sure how long I will have the “EA Forum Project Lead” title.