Thanks, that’s very helpful! Yeah I believe you’ve correctly described my views. To me, EA is defined by the principles. I’ll update my original comment, since now it seems that bit is misleading.
(I still think there is something there that gestures in the direction that Elizabeth is going. When I say “CEA is taking more of a leadership role”, I simply mean that literally — like, previously CEA was not viewing itself as being in a leadership role, and now it is doing that a non-zero amount. I think it matters that someone views themselves as even slightly responsible for the trajectory of EA, and you can’t really be responsible without wielding some power. So that’s how I read the “willing to own their power more” quote.)
Thanks! I’m down to bet, though I don’t feel like it would make sense for me to take either of those specific bets. I feel pretty clueless about whether “a CEA representative will repudiate a major project occurring under Zach’s watch”. I guess I think it’s reasonable for someone who was just hired at CEA to not to be held personally responsible for projects that started and ended before they were hired (though I may be misunderstanding your proposed bet). I also have very little information about the current state of EA university group recruiting, so I wouldn’t be that surprised if “more posts similar to Bad Omens in Current Community Building or University Groups Need Fixing coming out in a few years, talking about 2024 recruiting”. TBH I’m still not clear on what we disagree about, or even whether we actually disagree about anything. 😅
Apologies if I wasn’t clear about this, but my main comment was primarily a summary of my personal perspective, which is based on a tiny fraction of all the relevant information. I’m very open to the possibility that, for example, EA university group recruiting is pressuring students more than I would find appropriate. It’s just that, based on the tiny fraction of information I have, I see no evidence of that and only see evidence of the opposite. I would be really interested to hear if you have done a recent investigation and have evidence to support your claims, because you would have a fair chance of convincing me to take some action.
Anyway, I appreciate you responding and no worries if you want to drop this. :) My offer to chat synchronously still stands, if you’re ever interested. Though since I’m in an interim position, I’m not sure how long I will have the “EA Forum Project Lead” title.