frankly have no idea how impressed I should be, or in what ways I should update or what impacts I should expect, beyond a lot of people reporting being impressed.
I vaguely recall discussion of quantum computing on LessWrong years ago, which strung together a few datapoints and made a trend to extrapolate, and concluded that progress was exponential (and therefore would continue to be impressive / generate headlines) but (and this part I’m super fuzzy on) that even if the trend continued it would be decade+ before it gets good enough to matter for deep learning. A brief search doesn’t turn up anything though. Does anyone with better memory or knowledge than me want to weigh in?
I vaguely recall discussion of quantum computing on LessWrong years ago, which strung together a few datapoints and made a trend to extrapolate, and concluded that progress was exponential (and therefore would continue to be impressive / generate headlines) but (and this part I’m super fuzzy on) that even if the trend continued it would be decade+ before it gets good enough to matter for deep learning. A brief search doesn’t turn up anything though. Does anyone with better memory or knowledge than me want to weigh in?