This question is brilliant but I see about zero answers truly addressing it: it says, things you KNOW are true. I have seen quite a few answers, especially the AI related ones that fall in the category of Im pretty confident in my prediction that this will happen, which is not what the OP is asking
This is a reason to pay attention to ideas that are not beliefs (or hypotheses). Becoming a belief and making contact with a possible reality is an optional property, so if you require it, you disregard a more natural class of building blocks of thought. The uncontroversial example is math, but I think this applies to informal non-mathy ideas just as well.
This question is brilliant but I see about zero answers truly addressing it: it says, things you KNOW are true. I have seen quite a few answers, especially the AI related ones that fall in the category of Im pretty confident in my prediction that this will happen, which is not what the OP is asking
Any belief worth having entails predictions. The disagreement feature seems to handle these answers well.
This is a reason to pay attention to ideas that are not beliefs (or hypotheses). Becoming a belief and making contact with a possible reality is an optional property, so if you require it, you disregard a more natural class of building blocks of thought. The uncontroversial example is math, but I think this applies to informal non-mathy ideas just as well.
You mean the difference between “KNOW” and (mere) “high confidence”, or the difference between “is (already) true” and “predict this will happen”?