I think having this equilibrium for a while (e.g. a few years) is plausible because humans will also be able to use AI systems. (Humans might also not want to build much more powerful AIs due to safety concerns and simultaneously be able to substantially slow down self-improvement with compute limitations (and track self-improvement using other means).)
Note that by “war” I don’t neccessarily mean that battles are ongoing. It is possible this mostly manifests as racing on scaling and taking aggressive actions to hobble the AI’s ability to use more compute (including via the use of the army and weapons etc.).
I think having this equilibrium for a while (e.g. a few years) is plausible because humans will also be able to use AI systems. (Humans might also not want to build much more powerful AIs due to safety concerns and simultaneously be able to substantially slow down self-improvement with compute limitations (and track self-improvement using other means).)
Note that by “war” I don’t neccessarily mean that battles are ongoing. It is possible this mostly manifests as racing on scaling and taking aggressive actions to hobble the AI’s ability to use more compute (including via the use of the army and weapons etc.).