Y’know @Ryan, MATS should try to hire the PIBBSS folks to help with recruiting. IMO they tend to have the strongest participants of the programs on this chart which I’m familiar with (though high variance).
My main metric is “How smart do these people seem when I talk to them or watch their presentations?”. I think they also tend to be older and have more research experience.
PIBBSS had 12 fellows last cohort and MATS had 90 scholars. The mean/median MATS Summer 2024 scholar was 27; I’m not sure what this was for PIBBSS. The median age of the 12 oldest MATS scholars was 35 (mean 36). If we were selecting for age (which is silly/illegal, of course) and had a smaller program, I would bet that MATS would be older than PIBBSS on average. MATS also had 12 scholars with completed PhDs and 11 in-progress.
Several PIBBSS fellows/affiliates have done MATS (e.g., Ann-Kathrin Dombrowski, Magdalena Wache, Brady Pelkey, Martín Soto).
I suspect that your estimation of “how smart do these people seem” might be somewhat contingent on research taste. Most MATS research projects are in prosaic AI safety fields like oversight & control, evals, and non-”science of DL” interpretability, while most PIBBSS research has been in “biology/physics-inspired” interpretability, agent foundations, and (recently) novel policy approaches (all of which MATS has supported historically).
Also, MATS is generally trying to further a different research porfolio than PIBBSS, as I discuss here, and has substantial success in accelerating hires to AI scaling lab safety teams and research nonprofits, helping scholars found impactful AI safety organizations, and (I suspect) accelerating AISI hires.
I suspect that your estimation of “how smart do these people seem” might be somewhat contingent on research taste. Most MATS research projects are in prosaic AI safety fields like oversight & control, evals, and non-”science of DL” interpretability, while most PIBBSS research has been in “biology/physics-inspired” interpretability, agent foundations, and (recently) novel policy approaches (all of which MATS has supported historically).
I think this is less a matter of my particular taste, and more a matter of selection pressures producing genuinely different skill levels between different research areas. People notoriously focus on oversight/control/evals/specific interp over foundations/generalizable interp because the former are easier. So when one talks to people in those different areas, there’s a very noticeable tendency for the foundations/generalizable interp people to be noticeably smarter, more experienced, and/or more competent. And in the other direction, stronger people tend to be more often drawn to the more challenging problems of foundations or generalizable interp.
So possibly a MATS apologist reply would be: yeah, the MATS portfolio is more loaded on the sort of work that’s accessible to relatively-mid researchers, so naturally MATS ends up with more relatively-mid researchers. Which is not necessarily a bad thing.
I don’t agree with the following claims (which might misrepresent you):
“Skill levels” are domain agnostic.
Frontier oversight, control, evals, and non-”science of DL” interp research is strictly easier in practice than frontier agent foundations and “science of DL” interp research.
The main reason there is more funding/interest in the former category than the latter is due to skill issues, rather than worldview differences and clarity of scope.
MATS has mid researchers relative to other programs.
Note that governance/policy jobs pay less than ML research/engineering jobs, so I expect GovAI, IAPS, and ERA, which are more governance focused, to have a lower stipend. Also, MATS is deliberately trying to attract top CS PhD students, so our stipend should be higher than theirs, although lower than Google internships to select for value alignment. I suspect that PIBBSS’ stipend is an outlier and artificially low due to low funding. Given that PIBBSS has a mixture of ML and policy projects, and IMO is generally pursuing higher variance research than MATS, I suspect their optimal stipend would be lower than MATS’, but higher than a Stanford PhD’s; perhaps around IAPS’ rate.
That said, maybe you are conceptualizing of an “efficient market” that principally values impact, in which case I would expect the governance/policy programs to have higher stipends. However, I’ll note that 87% of MATS alumni are interested in working at an AISI and several are currently working at UK AISI, so it seems that MATS is doing a good job of recruiting technical governance talent that is happy to work for government wages.
No, I meant that the correlation between pay and how-competent-the-typical-participant-seems-to-me is, if anything, negative. Like, the hiring bar for Google interns is lower than any of the technical programs, and PIBBSS seems-to-me to have the most competent participants overall (though I’m not familiar with some of the programs).
I don’t think it makes sense to compare Google intern salary with AIS program stipends this way, as AIS programs are nonprofits (with associated salary cut) and generally trying to select against people motivated principally by money. It seems like good mechanism design to pay less than tech internships, even if the technical bar for is higher, given that value alignment is best selected by looking for “costly signals” like salary sacrifice.
I don’t think the correlation for competence among AIS programs is as you describe.
Interesting, thanks! My guess is this doesn’t include benefits like housing and travel costs? Some of these programs pay for those while others don’t, which I think is a non-trivial difference (especially for the bay area)
CHAI interns are paid $5k/month for in-person interns and $3.5k/month for remote interns. I used the in-person figure.
https://humancompatible.ai/jobs
Then the MATS stipend today is probably much lower than it used to be? (Which would make sense since IIRC the stipend during MATS 3.0 was settled before the FTX crash, so presumably when the funding situation was different?)
MATS lowered the stipend from $50/h to $40/h ahead of the Summer 2023 Program to support more scholars. We then lowered it again to $30/h ahead of the Winter 2023-24 Program after surveying alumni and determining that 85% would be accept $30/h.
Hourly stipends for AI safety fellowship programs, plus some referents. The average AI safety program stipend is $27/h.
… WOW that is not an efficient market.
Y’know @Ryan, MATS should try to hire the PIBBSS folks to help with recruiting. IMO they tend to have the strongest participants of the programs on this chart which I’m familiar with (though high variance).
That’s interesting! What evidence do you have of this? What metrics are you using?
My main metric is “How smart do these people seem when I talk to them or watch their presentations?”. I think they also tend to be older and have more research experience.
I think there some confounders here:
PIBBSS had 12 fellows last cohort and MATS had 90 scholars. The mean/median MATS Summer 2024 scholar was 27; I’m not sure what this was for PIBBSS. The median age of the 12 oldest MATS scholars was 35 (mean 36). If we were selecting for age (which is silly/illegal, of course) and had a smaller program, I would bet that MATS would be older than PIBBSS on average. MATS also had 12 scholars with completed PhDs and 11 in-progress.
Several PIBBSS fellows/affiliates have done MATS (e.g., Ann-Kathrin Dombrowski, Magdalena Wache, Brady Pelkey, Martín Soto).
I suspect that your estimation of “how smart do these people seem” might be somewhat contingent on research taste. Most MATS research projects are in prosaic AI safety fields like oversight & control, evals, and non-”science of DL” interpretability, while most PIBBSS research has been in “biology/physics-inspired” interpretability, agent foundations, and (recently) novel policy approaches (all of which MATS has supported historically).
Also, MATS is generally trying to further a different research porfolio than PIBBSS, as I discuss here, and has substantial success in accelerating hires to AI scaling lab safety teams and research nonprofits, helping scholars found impactful AI safety organizations, and (I suspect) accelerating AISI hires.
I think this is less a matter of my particular taste, and more a matter of selection pressures producing genuinely different skill levels between different research areas. People notoriously focus on oversight/control/evals/specific interp over foundations/generalizable interp because the former are easier. So when one talks to people in those different areas, there’s a very noticeable tendency for the foundations/generalizable interp people to be noticeably smarter, more experienced, and/or more competent. And in the other direction, stronger people tend to be more often drawn to the more challenging problems of foundations or generalizable interp.
So possibly a MATS apologist reply would be: yeah, the MATS portfolio is more loaded on the sort of work that’s accessible to relatively-mid researchers, so naturally MATS ends up with more relatively-mid researchers. Which is not necessarily a bad thing.
I don’t agree with the following claims (which might misrepresent you):
“Skill levels” are domain agnostic.
Frontier oversight, control, evals, and non-”science of DL” interp research is strictly easier in practice than frontier agent foundations and “science of DL” interp research.
The main reason there is more funding/interest in the former category than the latter is due to skill issues, rather than worldview differences and clarity of scope.
MATS has mid researchers relative to other programs.
Are these PIBBSS fellows (MATS scholar analog) or PIBBSS affiliates (MATS mentor analog)?
Fellows.
Note that governance/policy jobs pay less than ML research/engineering jobs, so I expect GovAI, IAPS, and ERA, which are more governance focused, to have a lower stipend. Also, MATS is deliberately trying to attract top CS PhD students, so our stipend should be higher than theirs, although lower than Google internships to select for value alignment. I suspect that PIBBSS’ stipend is an outlier and artificially low due to low funding. Given that PIBBSS has a mixture of ML and policy projects, and IMO is generally pursuing higher variance research than MATS, I suspect their optimal stipend would be lower than MATS’, but higher than a Stanford PhD’s; perhaps around IAPS’ rate.
That said, maybe you are conceptualizing of an “efficient market” that principally values impact, in which case I would expect the governance/policy programs to have higher stipends. However, I’ll note that 87% of MATS alumni are interested in working at an AISI and several are currently working at UK AISI, so it seems that MATS is doing a good job of recruiting technical governance talent that is happy to work for government wages.
No, I meant that the correlation between pay and how-competent-the-typical-participant-seems-to-me is, if anything, negative. Like, the hiring bar for Google interns is lower than any of the technical programs, and PIBBSS seems-to-me to have the most competent participants overall (though I’m not familiar with some of the programs).
I don’t think it makes sense to compare Google intern salary with AIS program stipends this way, as AIS programs are nonprofits (with associated salary cut) and generally trying to select against people motivated principally by money. It seems like good mechanism design to pay less than tech internships, even if the technical bar for is higher, given that value alignment is best selected by looking for “costly signals” like salary sacrifice.
I don’t think the correlation for competence among AIS programs is as you describe.
Interesting, thanks! My guess is this doesn’t include benefits like housing and travel costs? Some of these programs pay for those while others don’t, which I think is a non-trivial difference (especially for the bay area)
Yes, this doesn’t include those costs and programs differ in this respect.
Is “CHAI” being a CHAI intern, PhD student, or something else? My MATS 3.0 stipend was clearly higher than my CHAI internship stipend.
CHAI interns are paid $5k/month for in-person interns and $3.5k/month for remote interns. I used the in-person figure. https://humancompatible.ai/jobs
Then the MATS stipend today is probably much lower than it used to be? (Which would make sense since IIRC the stipend during MATS 3.0 was settled before the FTX crash, so presumably when the funding situation was different?)
MATS lowered the stipend from $50/h to $40/h ahead of the Summer 2023 Program to support more scholars. We then lowered it again to $30/h ahead of the Winter 2023-24 Program after surveying alumni and determining that 85% would be accept $30/h.
LASR (https://www.lasrlabs.org/) is giving a £11,000 stipend for a 13 week program, assuming 40h/week it works out to ~$27
Updated figure with LASR Labs and Pivotal Research Fellowship at current exchange rate of 1 GBP = 1.292 USD.
That seems like a reasonable stipend for LASR. I don’t think they cover housing, however.