>Like, we can make reasonable prediction of climate in 2100, even if we can’t predict weather two month ahead.
This is a strange claim to make in a thread about AGI destroying the world. Obviously if AGI destroys the world we can not predict the weather in 2100.
Predicting the weather in 2100 requires you to make a number of detailed claims about the years between now and 2100 (for example, the carbon-emissions per year), and it is precisely the lack of these claims that @Matthew Barnett is talking about.
>Like, we can make reasonable prediction of climate in 2100, even if we can’t predict weather two month ahead.
This is a strange claim to make in a thread about AGI destroying the world. Obviously if AGI destroys the world we can not predict the weather in 2100.
Predicting the weather in 2100 requires you to make a number of detailed claims about the years between now and 2100 (for example, the carbon-emissions per year), and it is precisely the lack of these claims that @Matthew Barnett is talking about.