For similar arguments, I think it’s gonna be very hard/unlikely to stop China from having AGI within a couple of years of the US (and most relevant AI chips currently being produced in Taiwan should probably further increase the probability of this). So taking on a lot more x-risk to try and race hard vs. China doesn’t seem like a good strategy from this POV.
For similar arguments, I think it’s gonna be very hard/unlikely to stop China from having AGI within a couple of years of the US (and most relevant AI chips currently being produced in Taiwan should probably further increase the probability of this). So taking on a lot more x-risk to try and race hard vs. China doesn’t seem like a good strategy from this POV.