Plausible. How easy will it be to tell that this is happening? A million people get laid off probably like every week, right? In the ordinary flux of the economy. And a permanent increase in unemployment of a million people would be maybe a 0.01% increase in unemployment stats worldwide? It would be nice to have a more easily measurable thing to forecast.
Any good ideas on how to check / falsify this? I’ve been thinking of checking my own AI-driven job loss predictions but find it harder to specify the details than expected.
I think it will take less than 3 years for the equivalent of 1,000,000 people to get laid off.
Plausible. How easy will it be to tell that this is happening? A million people get laid off probably like every week, right? In the ordinary flux of the economy. And a permanent increase in unemployment of a million people would be maybe a 0.01% increase in unemployment stats worldwide? It would be nice to have a more easily measurable thing to forecast.
Any good ideas on how to check / falsify this? I’ve been thinking of checking my own AI-driven job loss predictions but find it harder to specify the details than expected.
One idea: Create a LinkedIn advertiser account and segment by Industry and or Job Title. and or Job Function