Predictions based on simple statistical scoring were generally more accurate than predictions based on expert judgment.
It seems like it would be enormously valuable to compile scoring rules like this in one place so that people who might be able to benefit from them could easily find them.
Hm. I imagine it would be relatively low-cost to assemble a list, but I don’t know how valuable it would be. You probably don’t need access to a rule that tells you when to let out a psychiatric patient, for example (one of the other examples of SPRs I’ve seen).
The useful ones would be things like Dawes rule, or another one (that I don’t remember the name of) which says you need 4-5 times as many positive interactions in a relationship to negative ones. I wonder how resistant those are to gaming, though: if you take incompatible people who choose to delay fights / artificially increase lovemaking or compliment-giving, they’re probably more likely to break up than a couple who naturally has that level of compliments, love-making, and fighting.
It doesn’t seem to me that most incompatible couples would be able to artificially delay fights (by willpower alone) over the long run; I won’t speculate on whether the other variable could be artificially manipulated.
It seems like it would be enormously valuable to compile scoring rules like this in one place so that people who might be able to benefit from them could easily find them.
Hm. I imagine it would be relatively low-cost to assemble a list, but I don’t know how valuable it would be. You probably don’t need access to a rule that tells you when to let out a psychiatric patient, for example (one of the other examples of SPRs I’ve seen).
The useful ones would be things like Dawes rule, or another one (that I don’t remember the name of) which says you need 4-5 times as many positive interactions in a relationship to negative ones. I wonder how resistant those are to gaming, though: if you take incompatible people who choose to delay fights / artificially increase lovemaking or compliment-giving, they’re probably more likely to break up than a couple who naturally has that level of compliments, love-making, and fighting.
It doesn’t seem to me that most incompatible couples would be able to artificially delay fights (by willpower alone) over the long run; I won’t speculate on whether the other variable could be artificially manipulated.