(Slight nitpick is that I meant ‘calibration’ in the Tetlock sense, like being able to make informed judgments about how global events will play out, but I agree there’s certainly an analogous component that maps onto ‘how well you can predict your own life’.)
I currently don’t think that I have good answers to them, so this is sort a placeholder reply until me (or someone else) puts in more thoughts into this line of inquiry.
These are all very good questions.
(Slight nitpick is that I meant ‘calibration’ in the Tetlock sense, like being able to make informed judgments about how global events will play out, but I agree there’s certainly an analogous component that maps onto ‘how well you can predict your own life’.)
I currently don’t think that I have good answers to them, so this is sort a placeholder reply until me (or someone else) puts in more thoughts into this line of inquiry.