Possible, sure. But the implication of inference from these reference classes is that this future with a long period of civilizational decline is the only likely one—that some catastrophic end in the near future is pretty much ruled out. Much as I’d like to believe that, I don’t think one can actually infer that from the history of fire, wheels, and lenses.
Possible, sure. But the implication of inference from these reference classes is that this future with a long period of civilizational decline is the only likely one—that some catastrophic end in the near future is pretty much ruled out. Much as I’d like to believe that, I don’t think one can actually infer that from the history of fire, wheels, and lenses.