This kind of thing is why I’m paying a lot of attention to Tesla these days. They seem like the likeliest candidate to close the loop first. Obsessed with robotics, vertical integration, and manufacturing automation. Emitting slogans like “the machine that makes the machine” and “the factory is the product”.
Yes. The alternate approach to achieving a self-reproducing machine is to build a humanoid robot that can be dropped into existing factories, then gradually replace the workers that build it with robots. That path may well be the one that succeeds. Either path delivers an enormous expansion of industrial capabilities.
Ah, hmm I don’t know if this is really true, the humanoid robots aren’t going to be replacing the humans doing debugging processes, which I feel is where a lot of the bottlenecks are, because you don’t have many humans who can do that.
So on reflection, closing the loop might require deliberately engineering things so that bugs don’t occur, or so that they’re solved in cruder ways that pre-AGI ML can do, more in the direction of ‘demolish and recycle the entire factory when it wears out’, but hopefully not that far, and that probably isn’t cost-effective. Unless it is??
Its part of the space colony philosophy Tesla + SpaceX want to achieve that. We won’t get an idea of how hard/easy it is until there are >100 people permanently living outside earth trying to make it happen (With >>10K helpers on earth trying to make it happen)
This kind of thing is why I’m paying a lot of attention to Tesla these days. They seem like the likeliest candidate to close the loop first. Obsessed with robotics, vertical integration, and manufacturing automation. Emitting slogans like “the machine that makes the machine” and “the factory is the product”.
Yes. The alternate approach to achieving a self-reproducing machine is to build a humanoid robot that can be dropped into existing factories, then gradually replace the workers that build it with robots. That path may well be the one that succeeds. Either path delivers an enormous expansion of industrial capabilities.
Ah, hmm I don’t know if this is really true, the humanoid robots aren’t going to be replacing the humans doing debugging processes, which I feel is where a lot of the bottlenecks are, because you don’t have many humans who can do that.
So on reflection, closing the loop might require deliberately engineering things so that bugs don’t occur, or so that they’re solved in cruder ways that pre-AGI ML can do, more in the direction of ‘demolish and recycle the entire factory when it wears out’, but hopefully not that far, and that probably isn’t cost-effective. Unless it is??
Its part of the space colony philosophy Tesla + SpaceX want to achieve that. We won’t get an idea of how hard/easy it is until there are >100 people permanently living outside earth trying to make it happen (With >>10K helpers on earth trying to make it happen)