That is a bit poetic. In the Fibonacci case, we know that there is a simple explanation/formula. For the stock market, genome, or Shakespeare, it is not obvious that the smallest circuit will provide any significant understanding. On the other hand, if there’s any regularity at all in the stock market, the shortest efficient description will take advantage of this regularity for compression. And, therefore, you could use this automatically discovered regularity for prediction as well.
On the other hand, if several traders get their hands on efficient NP computers at once, it’s safe to bet that historical regularities will go out the window.
That is a bit poetic. In the Fibonacci case, we know that there is a simple explanation/formula. For the stock market, genome, or Shakespeare, it is not obvious that the smallest circuit will provide any significant understanding. On the other hand, if there’s any regularity at all in the stock market, the shortest efficient description will take advantage of this regularity for compression. And, therefore, you could use this automatically discovered regularity for prediction as well.
On the other hand, if several traders get their hands on efficient NP computers at once, it’s safe to bet that historical regularities will go out the window.
Pun intended?