You stop arguing about which of the equally baseless sampling assumptions is more or less ridiculous and just apply basic probability theory, instead, like with any other problem.
If you also felt “all this shit is dumb, just do the obvious thing” when you developed FNIC then I empathize with your feelings, while respectfully disagreeing with you on the objective level, regarding the question whether you are just applying basic probability theory or not.
Absolutely not fascinating answer. My brain is popping with “oh that makes sense ok”. I have nothing to add and nothing to offer you. I will never think about this again. Unless I need to do some anthropic reasoning for some reason, in which case I will just apply basic probability theory and never thank you.
This is a good post. I’m currently solving anthropic reasoning. And, oh boy, do I empathize with “all this shit is dumb, just do the obvious thing”.
I think this post would’ve been even better if you didn’t mix valid insights with humorous exaggerations.
Oh what’s the obvious thing in this case?
You stop arguing about which of the equally baseless sampling assumptions is more or less ridiculous and just apply basic probability theory, instead, like with any other problem.
Except, you know, that’s exactly what I do with Full Non-indexical Conditioning, but you don’t like the answer.
Philosophy is full of issues where lots of people think they’re just doing the “obvious thing”, except these people come to different conclusions.
If you also felt “all this shit is dumb, just do the obvious thing” when you developed FNIC then I empathize with your feelings, while respectfully disagreeing with you on the objective level, regarding the question whether you are just applying basic probability theory or not.
Absolutely not fascinating answer. My brain is popping with “oh that makes sense ok”. I have nothing to add and nothing to offer you. I will never think about this again. Unless I need to do some anthropic reasoning for some reason, in which case I will just apply basic probability theory and never thank you.