I really really didn’t mean to make or imply those predictions! That’s all much too soon, it’s only been a year! For a better sense of what my predictions were/are, see this vignette which was written half a year after Persuasion Tools and describes my “median” future.
Other than that, I agree with everything you say in this review. (And the predictions you imagine it making are reasonable, I just wouldn’t have said they’d happen within two years! I’m thinking more like five years. I’m also unsure whether it’ll ever rise to $1B in spending from a single government or whether chatbots will ever become a big deal (the best kinds of persuasion tools now, and possibly always, are non-chatbots).
Oh dear, I didn’t want to imply that those were your predictions! It
was merely an exercise for myself to make the ideas in the post more
concrete. I’ll revise my comment to make that clearer. Also apologies
for not linking your median future vignette, that was an oversight on
my part :-)
I’ll also update my review by making the predictions less conjunctive, perhaps you won’t endorse them anymore afterwards.
Thanks!
I really really didn’t mean to make or imply those predictions! That’s all much too soon, it’s only been a year! For a better sense of what my predictions were/are, see this vignette which was written half a year after Persuasion Tools and describes my “median” future.
Other than that, I agree with everything you say in this review. (And the predictions you imagine it making are reasonable, I just wouldn’t have said they’d happen within two years! I’m thinking more like five years. I’m also unsure whether it’ll ever rise to $1B in spending from a single government or whether chatbots will ever become a big deal (the best kinds of persuasion tools now, and possibly always, are non-chatbots).
Oh dear, I didn’t want to imply that those were your predictions! It was merely an exercise for myself to make the ideas in the post more concrete. I’ll revise my comment to make that clearer. Also apologies for not linking your median future vignette, that was an oversight on my part :-)
I’ll also update my review by making the predictions less conjunctive, perhaps you won’t endorse them anymore afterwards.
oh ok, thanks! Sorry if I misinterpreted you.