Some big policy stuff will happen, and it will seem neutral or positiveAI labs will agree on some safety standards which will seem positiveAI labs might compete on some safety things, but I expect a mediocre outcomeTask-oriented / agentic LLMs will be a bigger deal, and this will be scaryMisuse threats will be a big deal, and many more people will care about thisAI will enable interference in the US 2024 elections, but the policy effects are the main part I care aboutWe’ll make significant progress on alignment for current AIs which will look optimistic
Some big policy stuff will happen, and it will seem neutral or positive
AI labs will agree on some safety standards which will seem positive
AI labs might compete on some safety things, but I expect a mediocre outcome
Task-oriented / agentic LLMs will be a bigger deal, and this will be scary
Misuse threats will be a big deal, and many more people will care about this
AI will enable interference in the US 2024 elections, but the policy effects are the main part I care about
We’ll make significant progress on alignment for current AIs which will look optimistic
Great list. I also expect these things.
Great list. I also expect these things.