I think it’s likely that we will understand AGI well enough on the WBE track, even if AGI is not developed independently before that, and as a result this understanding will be implemented before WBE sorts out all the technical details and reaches its goal. So, even if it’s hard to compare the independent development of these paths, dependent scenario leads to conclusion that AGI will likely come before WBE.
I think it’s likely that we will understand AGI well enough on the WBE track, even if AGI is not developed independently before that, and as a result this understanding will be implemented before WBE sorts out all the technical details and reaches its goal. So, even if it’s hard to compare the independent development of these paths, dependent scenario leads to conclusion that AGI will likely come before WBE.