It’s like being the guy who checks the Wright brothers’ calculations, finds them correct,
Perhaps more like the Wright brothers were planning to figure out how to land the plane after they throw it off a cliff. And your example throws out the benefits of not signing up for cryonics, which are a major factor for me.
Note that if Wright brothers didn’t believe that there was a considerable chance of the plain not crashing, it would be a bad investment to build the plain in the first place. The question is about the cost: does the current state of knowledge support the positive outcome sufficiently to think of designing a plane? To design a plane? To build a plane? To perform an experiment, risking its destruction? To test-pilot a plane, risking one’s life?
The same goes for cryonics, here you risk something like 100 bucks a year.
Sure, I could risk 100 bucks a year on cryonics, and 100 bucks a year on a million other live-forever schemes, if I had 100 million dollars to waste every year.
Or I could invest my money intelligently and use it to help raise my children.
So they haven’t figured out the landing gear. So you might break your neck, might break your arm—but the tiger is sprinting towards you! It certainly will eat you!
Perhaps more like the Wright brothers were planning to figure out how to land the plane after they throw it off a cliff. And your example throws out the benefits of not signing up for cryonics, which are a major factor for me.
Note that if Wright brothers didn’t believe that there was a considerable chance of the plain not crashing, it would be a bad investment to build the plain in the first place. The question is about the cost: does the current state of knowledge support the positive outcome sufficiently to think of designing a plane? To design a plane? To build a plane? To perform an experiment, risking its destruction? To test-pilot a plane, risking one’s life?
The same goes for cryonics, here you risk something like 100 bucks a year.
Sure, I could risk 100 bucks a year on cryonics, and 100 bucks a year on a million other live-forever schemes, if I had 100 million dollars to waste every year.
Or I could invest my money intelligently and use it to help raise my children.
So they haven’t figured out the landing gear. So you might break your neck, might break your arm—but the tiger is sprinting towards you! It certainly will eat you!
I’ll take my odds against a tiger rather than a cliff any day. How confident are you that you won’t live forever?