I would give it maybe 40%, because on one hand it was very convenient for many people… and because similar situations certainly happened in the past, I would assume there would be processes designed to prevent such accidents… and if it happened regardless… On the other hand, people are generally incompetent, so you should expect them to screw up.
(Knowing more about what is “normal” in prisons could make me change the estimate.)
so maybe it’s not a “weird” belief except when compared against the mass media/”elite” narrative.
Yup, there can be a huge difference between comparing against the beliefs of:
I would give it maybe 40%, because on one hand it was very convenient for many people… and because similar situations certainly happened in the past, I would assume there would be processes designed to prevent such accidents… and if it happened regardless… On the other hand, people are generally incompetent, so you should expect them to screw up.
(Knowing more about what is “normal” in prisons could make me change the estimate.)
Yup, there can be a huge difference between comparing against the beliefs of:
average people,
smart people,
media,
Less Wrong.