Would “we get strong evidence that we’re not in one of the worlds where iterative design is guaranteed to fail, and it looks like the group’s doing the iterative design are proceeding with sufficient caution” qualify as a YES?
No, by the “If my opinion on the inherent danger of AI xrisk changes during the resolution period, I will try to respond based on the level of risk implied by my criteria, not based on my later evaluation of things.” rule, but maybe in such a case I would change the title to reflect the relevant criteria.
Would “we get strong evidence that we’re not in one of the worlds where iterative design is guaranteed to fail, and it looks like the group’s doing the iterative design are proceeding with sufficient caution” qualify as a YES?
No, by the “If my opinion on the inherent danger of AI xrisk changes during the resolution period, I will try to respond based on the level of risk implied by my criteria, not based on my later evaluation of things.” rule, but maybe in such a case I would change the title to reflect the relevant criteria.