I’d imagine whatever powers make lawyers need to take law school in order to be a lawyer would make it so you can’t just use a language model to do your lawyering for you. I.e. The primary bottleneck in law is not how much time it takes or knowledge of the subject matter, but the ability for law associations to rent seek.
More generally, language models seem like symmetric weapons in this regard, our current society is structured so as those trying to prevent others from doing stuff have greater advantage in our society’s economically bottlenecked areas, and so we shouldn’t expect language models to change the game-board too much. If they aren’t made illegal for legal purposes, both sides’ lawyers will be using them once one or two startups are able to break through the legal barriers using this strategy & get bought out by the established players.
If you want to be really pessimistic, you may expect those who have most mastered language models for the purposes of law to be more destructive than creative with their powers. For example, its far easier now to patent troll than it was previously. Many legal institutions if optimized against only really permit a decrease in progress rather than an increase.
I’d imagine whatever powers make lawyers need to take law school in order to be a lawyer would make it so you can’t just use a language model to do your lawyering for you. I.e. The primary bottleneck in law is not how much time it takes or knowledge of the subject matter, but the ability for law associations to rent seek.
More generally, language models seem like symmetric weapons in this regard, our current society is structured so as those trying to prevent others from doing stuff have greater advantage in our society’s economically bottlenecked areas, and so we shouldn’t expect language models to change the game-board too much. If they aren’t made illegal for legal purposes, both sides’ lawyers will be using them once one or two startups are able to break through the legal barriers using this strategy & get bought out by the established players.
If you want to be really pessimistic, you may expect those who have most mastered language models for the purposes of law to be more destructive than creative with their powers. For example, its far easier now to patent troll than it was previously. Many legal institutions if optimized against only really permit a decrease in progress rather than an increase.