When exactly will the probability estimate go way up? Someone living in the holodeck obviously isn’t aware they are living “in the future” or not. The probability has to be calculated from the inside, so I don’t see how it would ever change.
When exactly will the probability estimate go way up?
The probability of living in a holodeck is P(it is possible to build a holodeck) * P(you are in a holodeck|it is possible to build a holodeck). If you ever see or hear about people a holodeck being built, then the first term becomes 1.
When exactly will the probability estimate go way up? Someone living in the holodeck obviously isn’t aware they are living “in the future” or not. The probability has to be calculated from the inside, so I don’t see how it would ever change.
The probability of living in a holodeck is P(it is possible to build a holodeck) * P(you are in a holodeck|it is possible to build a holodeck). If you ever see or hear about people a holodeck being built, then the first term becomes 1.