ETA2: “What would you do in situation X?” and “What would you like to pre-commit to doing, should you ever encounter situation X?” should, to a rational agent, be one and the same question.
Note that this doesn’t apply here. It’s “What would you do if you were counterfactually mugged?” versus “What would you like to pre-commit to doing, should you ever be told about the coin flip before you knew the result?”. X isn’t the same.
...and that’s an even better way of putting it.
Note that this doesn’t apply here. It’s “What would you do if you were counterfactually mugged?” versus “What would you like to pre-commit to doing, should you ever be told about the coin flip before you knew the result?”. X isn’t the same.