On the vaccine chart, if people are less likely to get vaccinated if they are already close to dying, then all cause mortality will spike among the unvaccinated and drop among the vaccinated when the vaccines are being rolled out, regardless of Covid-related effects. That’s not likely to account for the full spike, but it isn’t as straightforward as attributing the full difference to the vaccines.
On the vaccine chart, if people are less likely to get vaccinated if they are already close to dying, then all cause mortality will spike among the unvaccinated and drop among the vaccinated when the vaccines are being rolled out, regardless of Covid-related effects. That’s not likely to account for the full spike, but it isn’t as straightforward as attributing the full difference to the vaccines.