On RSPs vs pauses, my basic take is that hardcore pauses are better than RSPs and RSPs are considerably better than weak pauses.
Best: we first prevent hardware progress and stop H100 manufactoring for a bit, then we prevent AI algorithmic progress, and then we stop scaling (ideally in that order). Then, we heavily invest in long run safety research agendas and hold the pause for a long time (20 years sounds good to start). This requires heavy international coordination.
I think good RSPs are worse than this, but probably much better than just having a lab pause scaling.
It’s possible that various actors should explicitly state that hardcore pauses would be better (insofar as they think so).
On RSPs vs pauses, my basic take is that hardcore pauses are better than RSPs and RSPs are considerably better than weak pauses.
Best: we first prevent hardware progress and stop H100 manufactoring for a bit, then we prevent AI algorithmic progress, and then we stop scaling (ideally in that order). Then, we heavily invest in long run safety research agendas and hold the pause for a long time (20 years sounds good to start). This requires heavy international coordination.
I think good RSPs are worse than this, but probably much better than just having a lab pause scaling.
It’s possible that various actors should explicitly state that hardcore pauses would be better (insofar as they think so).