I just realized that Scott Alexander (2018) had previously written specifically about scientific progress, while Holden Karnofsky (2021) had written about broader technological progress.
(Sorry about the long delay; I hope it’s still of interest.)
I just realized that Scott Alexander (2018) had previously written specifically about scientific progress, while Holden Karnofsky (2021) had written about broader technological progress.
(Sorry about the long delay; I hope it’s still of interest.)