While we’re determined, we also determine the future. The atoms that do that are called you. They make up beliefs and passions and you. You are not an object. You are a subject, and you determine your own future. The nexus of past influences is called you and your thoughts. Don’t skimp on care in thinking; your future is up to you.
You are a subject, and you determine your own future
Not so much , given deteminism.
Determinism allows you to cause the future in a limited sense. Under determinism, events still need to be caused,and your (determined) actions can be part of the cause of a future state that is itself determined, that has probability 1.0. Determinism allows you to cause the future ,but it doesn’t allow you to control the future in any sense other than causing it. (and the sense in which you are causing the future is just the sense in which any future state depends on causes in he past—it is nothing special and nothing different from physical causation). It allows, in a purely theoretical sense “if I had made choice b instead of choice a, then future B would have happened instead of future A” … but without the ability to have actually chosen b.
You are a link in a deterministic chain that leads to a future state, so without you, the state will not happen … not that you have any choose use in the matter. You can’t stop or change the future because you can’t fail to make your choices, or make them differently. You can’t anything of your own, since everything about you and your choices was determined by at the time of the Big Bang. Under determinism , you are nothing special...only the BB is special.
Tthis is still true under many worlds. even though MWI implies that there is not a single inevitable future, it doesn’t allow you to influence the future in a way that makes future A more likely than future B , as a result of some choice you make now. Under MW determinism, the probabilities of A and B are what they are, and always were—before you make a decision, after you make a decision , and before you were born. You can’t choosee between them, even in the sense of adjusting the probabilities.
Libertarian free will, by contrast, does allow the future to depend on decisions which are not themselves determined. That means there are valid statements of the form “if I had made choice b instead of choice a, then future B would have happened instead of future A”. And you actually could have made choice a or choice b....these are real possibilities, not merely conceptual or logical ones.
I think Seth is not so much contradicting you here but using a deterministic definition of “self” as that which we are referring to as a particular categorisation of the deterministic process, the one experienced as “making decisions”, and importantly “deliberating over decisions”. Whether we are determined or not, the effort one puts into their choices is not wasted, it is data-processing that produces better outcomes in general.
One might be determined to throw in the towel on cognitive effort if they were to take a particular interpretation of determinism, and they, and the rest of us, would be worse off for it. So, the more of us who expend the effort to convince others of the benefits of continuing cognitive effort in spite of a deterministic universe are doing a service to the future, determined or otherwise.
Cognitive effort is inevitable. It would take a special kind of ‘person who fails the psychopath test’, somehow lacking urges/feelings, to be able to switch off completely and fade into nothingness.
What I’m meaning to say is that if you naively believe that “you” (as in someone’s sense of self—a result of their genes, experiences and reflections) have no control over yourself, you might feel a lot more relaxed about past mistakes, or future ones since you have a ready excuse, resulting in lazy decision-making (decision-making involving less effort), of course you’ll probably still satisfy the bare necessities for survival—although some of the early existentialists sound like they would barely bother with this.
Of course those same existentialists did write long, ground-breaking books that no doubt required significant cognitive effort, so “shrugs”.
Libertarian free will is a contradiction in terms. Randomness is not what we want. Compatibilist free will has all the properties worth wanting: your values and beliefs determine the future, to the extent you exert the effort to make good decisions. Whether you do that is also determined, but it is determined by meaningful things like how you react to this statement.
Determinism has no actionable consequences if it’s true. The main conclusion people draw, my efforts at making decisions don’t matter, is dreadfully wrong.
One might be determined to throw in the towel on cognitive effort if they were to take a particular interpretation of determinism, and they, and the rest of us, would be worse off for it.
Determinists are always telling each other to act like libertarians. That’s a clue that libertarianism is worth wanting.
@James Stephen Brown
Compatibilist free will has all the properties worth wanting: your values and beliefs determine the future, to the extent you exert the effort to make good decisions.
No it doesn’t, because it doesn’t have the property of being able to shape the future, or steer towards a future that wasn’t inevitable. Which is pretty important if you are trying to avoid the AI kills everyone future
Libertarian free will is able to do that.
Naturalistic libertarianism appeals to some form of indeterminism, or randomness, inherent in physics rather than a soul or ghost-in-the-machine unique to humans, , that overrides the physical behaviour of the brain. The problem is to explain how indeterminism does not undermine other features of a kind free will “worth wanting”—purposiveness, rationality and so on.
Randomness is not what we want
Explaining NLFW in terms of “randomness” is difficult, because the word has connotations of purposelessness , meaninglessness, and so on. But these are only connotations, not strict implications. “Not deteminism” doesn’t imply lack of reason , purpose , or control. It doesn’t have to separate your from from your beliefs and values. Therefore,I prefer the term “indeterminism” over the term “randomness”.
So, how to explain indeterminism does not undermine other features of a kind free will “worth wanting”.
Part of the answer is to note that mixtures of indeterminism and determinism are possible, so that libertarian free will is not just pure randomness, where any action is equally likely.
Another part is proposing a mechanism , with indeterminism occurring at different places and times, rather than being slathered evenly over neural activity.
Another part is noting that control doesn’t have to mean predetermination.
Another part is that notice that a choice between things you wish to do cannot leave you doing something you do not wish to do, something unconnected to your desires and beliefs.
The basic mechanism is that the unconscious mind proposes various ideas and actions , which a the conscious mind decides between. Thus is similar to the mechanism provided by the determinist Sam Harris. He makes much of the fact that the conscious mind, the executive function, does not predetermined the suggestions: I argue that the choice between them, the decision to act in one rather than another, *is* conscious control. -- and conscious control clearly exists in health adults.
Part of the answer is to note that mixtures of indeterminism and determinism are possible, so that libertarian free will is not just pure randomness, where any action is equally likely.
This is really interesting, because I agree with this, but also agree with what Seth’s saying. I think this disagreement might actually be largely a semantic one. As such, I’m going to (try to) avoid using the terms ‘libertarian’ or ‘compatibilist’ free will. First of all I agree with the use of “indeterminism” to mean non-uniform randomness. I agree that there is a way that determinism and indeterminism can be mixed in such a way as give rise to an emergent property that is not present in either purely determined or purely random systems. I understand this in relation to the idea of evolutionary “design” which emerges from a system that necessarily has both determined and indeterminate properties (indeterminate at least at the level of the genes, they might not be ultimately indeterminate).
I’m going to employ a decision-making map that seeks to clarify my understanding of the how we make decisions and where we might get “what we want” from.
As I see it, the items in white are largely set, and change only gradually, and with no sense of control involved. I don’t believe we have any control over our genes, our intentions or desires, what results our actions will have, of the world—I also don’t think we have any control over our model of ourselves or the world, those are formed subconsciously. But our effort (in the green areas) allows for deliberative decision making, following an evolutionary selection process, in which our conscious awareness is involved.
In this way we are not beholden to the first action available to us, we can, instead of taking an action in the world, make a series of simulated actions in our head, consciously experiencing the predicted outcome of those actions, until we find a satisfactory one. So, you don’t end up with a determined or a random solution, you end up with an option based on your conscious experience of your simulated options. This process satisfies my wants in terms of my sense that I have some control (when I make the effort) over my decisions. At the same time, I’m agnostic about whether true indeterminism exists at all, but, like with evolution, with randomness at the level of the cell (that may not be ultimately random), I think even in an entirely determined universe, we exist on a level that is subject to, at least, some apparent indeterminism. And even if that apparent indeterminism turns out to be determined, our (eternal) inability to calculate what is determined, still means we have no grounds to act in any way other than as if we have the control we feel we have.
I’m actually not sure if this makes me a compatibilist or not.
Determinists are always telling each other to act like libertarians. That’s a clue that libertarianism is worth wanting.
So, I don’t think my position is the same as asserting that we should act like libertarians, as I have (now) described my conception of the situation, I just think I should act consistent with this conception. By analogy, there are still people who say atheists often act according to “religious” moral values, but in fact they’re not—it’s just that morality is mode of behaviour that has all the same functions regardless of one’s belief system.
“Optimism is a duty. The future is open. It is not predetermined. No one can predict it, except by chance. We all contribute to determining it by what we do. We are all equally responsible for its success.”—Karl Popper
Agree wholeheartedly. I’m trying to describe transcending the realisation of determinism, in the sense of not getting bogged down by it, to then go about living a good human life.
While we’re determined, we also determine the future. The atoms that do that are called you. They make up beliefs and passions and you. You are not an object. You are a subject, and you determine your own future. The nexus of past influences is called you and your thoughts. Don’t skimp on care in thinking; your future is up to you.
Not so much , given deteminism.
Determinism allows you to cause the future in a limited sense. Under determinism, events still need to be caused,and your (determined) actions can be part of the cause of a future state that is itself determined, that has probability 1.0. Determinism allows you to cause the future ,but it doesn’t allow you to control the future in any sense other than causing it. (and the sense in which you are causing the future is just the sense in which any future state depends on causes in he past—it is nothing special and nothing different from physical causation). It allows, in a purely theoretical sense “if I had made choice b instead of choice a, then future B would have happened instead of future A” … but without the ability to have actually chosen b. You are a link in a deterministic chain that leads to a future state, so without you, the state will not happen … not that you have any choose use in the matter. You can’t stop or change the future because you can’t fail to make your choices, or make them differently. You can’t anything of your own, since everything about you and your choices was determined by at the time of the Big Bang. Under determinism , you are nothing special...only the BB is special.
Tthis is still true under many worlds. even though MWI implies that there is not a single inevitable future, it doesn’t allow you to influence the future in a way that makes future A more likely than future B , as a result of some choice you make now. Under MW determinism, the probabilities of A and B are what they are, and always were—before you make a decision, after you make a decision , and before you were born. You can’t choosee between them, even in the sense of adjusting the probabilities.
Libertarian free will, by contrast, does allow the future to depend on decisions which are not themselves determined. That means there are valid statements of the form “if I had made choice b instead of choice a, then future B would have happened instead of future A”. And you actually could have made choice a or choice b....these are real possibilities, not merely conceptual or logical ones.
I think Seth is not so much contradicting you here but using a deterministic definition of “self” as that which we are referring to as a particular categorisation of the deterministic process, the one experienced as “making decisions”, and importantly “deliberating over decisions”. Whether we are determined or not, the effort one puts into their choices is not wasted, it is data-processing that produces better outcomes in general.
One might be determined to throw in the towel on cognitive effort if they were to take a particular interpretation of determinism, and they, and the rest of us, would be worse off for it. So, the more of us who expend the effort to convince others of the benefits of continuing cognitive effort in spite of a deterministic universe are doing a service to the future, determined or otherwise.
Precisely what I meant, good catch on the effort bit.
Cognitive effort is inevitable. It would take a special kind of ‘person who fails the psychopath test’, somehow lacking urges/feelings, to be able to switch off completely and fade into nothingness.
What I’m meaning to say is that if you naively believe that “you” (as in someone’s sense of self—a result of their genes, experiences and reflections) have no control over yourself, you might feel a lot more relaxed about past mistakes, or future ones since you have a ready excuse, resulting in lazy decision-making (decision-making involving less effort), of course you’ll probably still satisfy the bare necessities for survival—although some of the early existentialists sound like they would barely bother with this.
Of course those same existentialists did write long, ground-breaking books that no doubt required significant cognitive effort, so “shrugs”.
Libertarian free will is a contradiction in terms. Randomness is not what we want. Compatibilist free will has all the properties worth wanting: your values and beliefs determine the future, to the extent you exert the effort to make good decisions. Whether you do that is also determined, but it is determined by meaningful things like how you react to this statement.
Determinism has no actionable consequences if it’s true. The main conclusion people draw, my efforts at making decisions don’t matter, is dreadfully wrong.
Determinists are always telling each other to act like libertarians. That’s a clue that libertarianism is worth wanting. @James Stephen Brown
No it doesn’t, because it doesn’t have the property of being able to shape the future, or steer towards a future that wasn’t inevitable. Which is pretty important if you are trying to avoid the AI kills everyone future
Libertarian free will is able to do that.
Naturalistic libertarianism appeals to some form of indeterminism, or randomness, inherent in physics rather than a soul or ghost-in-the-machine unique to humans, , that overrides the physical behaviour of the brain. The problem is to explain how indeterminism does not undermine other features of a kind free will “worth wanting”—purposiveness, rationality and so on.
Explaining NLFW in terms of “randomness” is difficult, because the word has connotations of purposelessness , meaninglessness, and so on. But these are only connotations, not strict implications. “Not deteminism” doesn’t imply lack of reason , purpose , or control. It doesn’t have to separate your from from your beliefs and values. Therefore,I prefer the term “indeterminism” over the term “randomness”.
So, how to explain indeterminism does not undermine other features of a kind free will “worth wanting”.
Part of the answer is to note that mixtures of indeterminism and determinism are possible, so that libertarian free will is not just pure randomness, where any action is equally likely.
Another part is proposing a mechanism , with indeterminism occurring at different places and times, rather than being slathered evenly over neural activity.
Another part is noting that control doesn’t have to mean predetermination.
Another part is that notice that a choice between things you wish to do cannot leave you doing something you do not wish to do, something unconnected to your desires and beliefs.
The basic mechanism is that the unconscious mind proposes various ideas and actions , which a the conscious mind decides between. Thus is similar to the mechanism provided by the determinist Sam Harris. He makes much of the fact that the conscious mind, the executive function, does not predetermined the suggestions: I argue that the choice between them, the decision to act in one rather than another, *is* conscious control. -- and conscious control clearly exists in health adults.
This is really interesting, because I agree with this, but also agree with what Seth’s saying. I think this disagreement might actually be largely a semantic one. As such, I’m going to (try to) avoid using the terms ‘libertarian’ or ‘compatibilist’ free will. First of all I agree with the use of “indeterminism” to mean non-uniform randomness. I agree that there is a way that determinism and indeterminism can be mixed in such a way as give rise to an emergent property that is not present in either purely determined or purely random systems. I understand this in relation to the idea of evolutionary “design” which emerges from a system that necessarily has both determined and indeterminate properties (indeterminate at least at the level of the genes, they might not be ultimately indeterminate).
I’m going to employ a decision-making map that seeks to clarify my understanding of the how we make decisions and where we might get “what we want” from.
As I see it, the items in white are largely set, and change only gradually, and with no sense of control involved. I don’t believe we have any control over our genes, our intentions or desires, what results our actions will have, of the world—I also don’t think we have any control over our model of ourselves or the world, those are formed subconsciously. But our effort (in the green areas) allows for deliberative decision making, following an evolutionary selection process, in which our conscious awareness is involved.
In this way we are not beholden to the first action available to us, we can, instead of taking an action in the world, make a series of simulated actions in our head, consciously experiencing the predicted outcome of those actions, until we find a satisfactory one. So, you don’t end up with a determined or a random solution, you end up with an option based on your conscious experience of your simulated options. This process satisfies my wants in terms of my sense that I have some control (when I make the effort) over my decisions. At the same time, I’m agnostic about whether true indeterminism exists at all, but, like with evolution, with randomness at the level of the cell (that may not be ultimately random), I think even in an entirely determined universe, we exist on a level that is subject to, at least, some apparent indeterminism. And even if that apparent indeterminism turns out to be determined, our (eternal) inability to calculate what is determined, still means we have no grounds to act in any way other than as if we have the control we feel we have.
I’m actually not sure if this makes me a compatibilist or not.
So, I don’t think my position is the same as asserting that we should act like libertarians, as I have (now) described my conception of the situation, I just think I should act consistent with this conception. By analogy, there are still people who say atheists often act according to “religious” moral values, but in fact they’re not—it’s just that morality is mode of behaviour that has all the same functions regardless of one’s belief system.
“Optimism is a duty. The future is open. It is not predetermined. No one can predict it, except by chance. We all contribute to determining it by what we do. We are all equally responsible for its success.”—Karl Popper
I am yet to find a statement by Popper that I disagree with.
And yet I can predict that The Sun will go up tomorrow. Curious
Agree wholeheartedly. I’m trying to describe transcending the realisation of determinism, in the sense of not getting bogged down by it, to then go about living a good human life.
Very well said, I have expressed this exact sentiment more clumsily many times. I concur.