There is definitely not a consensus that Tokomaks will work
Small quibble here. My point is that we completely understand the underlying physical laws governing fusion. There is no equivalent to “E=MC^2” (or the Standard Model) for AGI.
I’d also be really interested to see a quote along the lines of “tokomaks won’t work” or “ITER will not produce more energy than it consumes (Q>1)” if they actually exist. My current prior is that something like 99% of people who have studied nuclear fusion think it is possible with current technology to build a Tokomak with Q>1.
The physical laws allow us to get an idea about how hard nuclear fussion happens to be. It allows us to rule a lot of approaches as not having the chance to work.
Small quibble here. My point is that we completely understand the underlying physical laws governing fusion. There is no equivalent to “E=MC^2” (or the Standard Model) for AGI.
I’d also be really interested to see a quote along the lines of “tokomaks won’t work” or “ITER will not produce more energy than it consumes (Q>1)” if they actually exist. My current prior is that something like 99% of people who have studied nuclear fusion think it is possible with current technology to build a Tokomak with Q>1.
The physical laws allow us to get an idea about how hard nuclear fussion happens to be. It allows us to rule a lot of approaches as not having the chance to work.