Though, one alternative that seems to work is making bets with people. It seems to work because the thought of gaining coolness/​status points over the other person overcomes the resistance to putting in the effort of thinking about the prediction. Apparently some major financial firms (Renaissance?) have a culture where you are actively encouraged to do this.
Though, one alternative that seems to work is making bets with people. It seems to work because the thought of gaining coolness/​status points over the other person overcomes the resistance to putting in the effort of thinking about the prediction. Apparently some major financial firms (Renaissance?) have a culture where you are actively encouraged to do this.