Once we get superintelligence, we might get every other technology that the laws of physics allow, even if we aren’t that “close” to these other technologies.
Maybe they believe in a ≈38% chance of superintelligence by 2039.
PS: Your comment may have caused it to drop to 38%. :)
Once we get superintelligence, we might get every other technology that the laws of physics allow, even if we aren’t that “close” to these other technologies.
Maybe they believe in a ≈38% chance of superintelligence by 2039.
PS: Your comment may have caused it to drop to 38%. :)
Manifold estimates an 81% chance of ASI by 2036, using a definition that looks fairly weak and subjective to me.
I’ve bid the brain emulation market back up a bit.