Both of them have 15 predictions at this point. Could still be low sample size but seemed enough to be able to start adjusting.
(and, even if it turns out I am actually better calibrated than this and it goes away at larger samples, I’m still interested in the general answer to the question)
Sounds like mostly low sample size?
Both of them have 15 predictions at this point. Could still be low sample size but seemed enough to be able to start adjusting.
(and, even if it turns out I am actually better calibrated than this and it goes away at larger samples, I’m still interested in the general answer to the question)