I found your earlier comment in this thread insightful and I think it would be really valuable to know what evidence convinced you of these timelines. If you don’t have time to summarize in a post, is there anything you could link to?
Note also that I would still endorse these actions (since they’re still necessary even with shorter timelines) but they need to be done much faster and so we need to be much more aggressive.
I found your earlier comment in this thread insightful and I think it would be really valuable to know what evidence convinced you of these timelines. If you don’t have time to summarize in a post, is there anything you could link to?
Yep, just posted it: https://www.lesswrong.com/posts/wrkEnGrTTrM2mnmGa/it-s-time-for-ea-leadership-to-pull-the-fast-takeoff-fire
Note also that I would still endorse these actions (since they’re still necessary even with shorter timelines) but they need to be done much faster and so we need to be much more aggressive.