Credibility of the CDC on SARS-CoV-2 is related but to me it belongs to a reference class that is at least moderately different. 1) Because of it being in the arena of politics. And 2) because they have an incentive to lie to the public for infohazrd reasons; regardless of whether or not you agree with it. What I’m trying to discuss with the Google example above is the reference class of an organization “getting it wrong” for “internal” reasons rather than “external” ones.
Credibility of the CDC on SARS-CoV-2 is related but to me it belongs to a reference class that is at least moderately different. 1) Because of it being in the arena of politics. And 2) because they have an incentive to lie to the public for infohazrd reasons; regardless of whether or not you agree with it. What I’m trying to discuss with the Google example above is the reference class of an organization “getting it wrong” for “internal” reasons rather than “external” ones.