Something worth pondering: conditional on you being in fact strongly psychotic—on your perceptions having gone so rotten that your brain populates the world with Omegas and waistcoat-clad white rabbits—is there any course of action worth pursuing any longer? Deciding to see a psychiatrist may not have a high correlation with actually seeing a psychiatrist, you might end up blubbering incomprehensibly at your friendly neighbourhood crack dealer instead.
Effectively, this would drastically reduce or even nullify the weight you should give to the insanity hypothesis. If insanity made you able to undergo the actions you consciously chose only, say, 10% of the time, whereas the “Omega exists” scenario does not similarly hamper you, then you should divide by 10 the weight you gave to the option of assuming insanity.
And now I realise the obvious answer—that there are many orders of magnitude of difference between the likelihood of personal brain damage and that of Omega appearing, while I don’t see the reasoning above eliminating more than two or three. Still, I’m leaving this comment since it seems there’s something worthwhile in it.
Something worth pondering: conditional on you being in fact strongly psychotic—on your perceptions having gone so rotten that your brain populates the world with Omegas and waistcoat-clad white rabbits—is there any course of action worth pursuing any longer? Deciding to see a psychiatrist may not have a high correlation with actually seeing a psychiatrist, you might end up blubbering incomprehensibly at your friendly neighbourhood crack dealer instead.
Effectively, this would drastically reduce or even nullify the weight you should give to the insanity hypothesis. If insanity made you able to undergo the actions you consciously chose only, say, 10% of the time, whereas the “Omega exists” scenario does not similarly hamper you, then you should divide by 10 the weight you gave to the option of assuming insanity.
And now I realise the obvious answer—that there are many orders of magnitude of difference between the likelihood of personal brain damage and that of Omega appearing, while I don’t see the reasoning above eliminating more than two or three. Still, I’m leaving this comment since it seems there’s something worthwhile in it.
Except insanity in humans tends to manifest as time-isolated episodes.