1. Going through two of the adjacent links in the same paragraph:
With the trees, I only skimmed it, but if I get it correctly, the linked article proposes this new hypothesis: Together these pieces of evidence point to a new hypothesis: Small-scale, gap-generating disturbances maintain power-function size structure whereas later-successional forest patches are responsible for deviations in the high tail.
and, also from the paper
Current theories explaining the consistency of tropical forest size structure are controversial. Explanations based on scaling up individual metabolic rates are criticized for ignoring the importance of asymmetric competition for light in causing variation in dynamic rates. Other theories, which embrace competition and scale individual tree vital rates through an assumption of demographic equilibrium, are criticized for lacking parsimony, because predictions rely on site-level, size-specific parameterization
(I also recommend looking on the plots with the “power law”, which are of the usual type of approximating something more complex with a straight line in some interval.)
So, what we actually have in this: apparently different researchers proposing different hypothesis to explain the observed power-law-like data. It is far from conclusive what the actual reason is. As something like positive feedback loops is quite obvious part of the hypothesis space if you see power-law-like data, you are almost guaranteed to find a paper which proposes something in that direction. However, note that article actually criticizes previous explanations based more on “Matthews effect”, and proposes disturbances as a critical part of the explanation.
(Btw I do not claim any dishonesty from the author anything like that.)
Something similar can be said about the Cambrian explosion which is the next link.
Halo and Horn effects are likely evolutionary adaptive effects, tracking something real (traits like “having an ugly face” and “having higher probability of ending up in trouble” are likely correlated—the common cause can be mutation load / parasite load; you have things like the positive manifold).
And so on.
Sorry but I will not dissect every paragraph of the article in this way. (Also it seems a bit futile, as if I dig into specific examples, it will be interpreted as nit-picking)
2. Last attempt to gesture toward whats wrong with this whole. The best approximation of the cluster of phenomena the article is pointing toward is not “preferential attachment” (as you propose), but something broader—“systems with feedback loops which can be in some approximation described by the differential equation dx = b.x”.
You can start to see systems like that everywhere, and get a sense of something deep, explaining life, universe and everything.
One problem with this: if you have a system described by a differential equation of the form “dx = f(x,..)”, and the function f() is reasonable, you can approximate it by its Taylor series “f(x)=a+b.x+c.x.x+..”. Obviously, the first order term is b.x. Unfortunately (?) you can say this even before looking on the system.
So, vaguely speaking, when you start thinking in this way, my intuition is it puts you in a big danger of conflating something about how you do approximations with causal explanations. (I guess it may be a good deal for many people who don’t have s-1 intuitions for Taylor series or even log() function)
I actually had some similar alarm bells go off for conflation of concepts in the op, especially because the post specifically gestures at one concept and doesn’t give explanations of the different examples where this might come up.
However, on second thought I think I do like the concept this builds. To phrase it in your formal terms, I think it’s very useful to notice all the systems in which the Taylor series for f has b>0, ESPECIALLY when it’s comparably easy to control f via b∗x rather than just a.
In this light, you can view momentum, exponential growth, heavy-tails, etc., as all cases where a main component of controlling or predicting future x is by paying attention to the b∗x term, and I claim this is an important revelation to have at a variety of levels.
Perhaps more relevant to your actual crux, I also get shudders when people overload physics terms with other meanings, but before they were physics terms they were concepts for intuitive things. Given that we view the world through physical metaphors, I think it’s quite important for us to use the best-fitting words for concepts. Then we can remind people of the different variants when people run into conflationary trouble. If we start off by naming things with poor associations we hold ourselves back more. If you have alternative name to “momentum” for this that you also think have good connotations though, I’d love to hear them.
The second thing first: ”...but before they were physics terms they were concepts for intuitive things” is actually not true in this case: momentum did not mean anything, before being coined in physics. Than, it become used in a metaphorical way, but mostly congruently with the original physics concepts, as something like “mass”x”velocity”. It seems to me easy to imagine vivid pictures based of this metaphor, like advancing army conquering mile after mile of enemy territory having a momentum, or a scholar going through page after page of a difficult text. However, this concept is not tied to the b∗x term (which is one of my cruxes).
To me, the original metaphorical meaning of momentum makes a lot of sense: you have a lot of systems where you have something like mass (closely connected to inertia: you need great force to get something massive to move) and something like velocity—direction and speed where the system is heading. I would expect most people have this on some level.
Now, to the first thing second: I agree that it may be useful to notice all the systems in which the Taylor series for f has b>0, ESPECIALLY when it’s comparably easy to control f via b∗x rather than just a. However, some of the examples in the original post do not match this pattern: some could be just systems where, for example, you insert heavy-tailed distribution on the input, and you get heavy-tailed distribution on the output, or systems where the a term is what you should control, or systems where you should actually understand more about f(x) than the fact that is is has positive first derivative at some point.
What should be a good name for b∗x>0 I don’t know, some random prosaic ideas are snowballing, compound, faenus (from latin interest on money, gains, profit, advantage), compound interest. But likely there are is some more poetic name, similarly to Moloch.
1. Going through two of the adjacent links in the same paragraph:
With the trees, I only skimmed it, but if I get it correctly, the linked article proposes this new hypothesis: Together these pieces of evidence point to a new hypothesis: Small-scale, gap-generating disturbances maintain power-function size structure whereas later-successional forest patches are responsible for deviations in the high tail.
and, also from the paper
Current theories explaining the consistency of tropical forest size structure are controversial. Explanations based on scaling up individual metabolic rates are criticized for ignoring the importance of asymmetric competition for light in causing variation in dynamic rates. Other theories, which embrace competition and scale individual tree vital rates through an assumption of demographic equilibrium, are criticized for lacking parsimony, because predictions rely on site-level, size-specific parameterization
(I also recommend looking on the plots with the “power law”, which are of the usual type of approximating something more complex with a straight line in some interval.)
So, what we actually have in this: apparently different researchers proposing different hypothesis to explain the observed power-law-like data. It is far from conclusive what the actual reason is. As something like positive feedback loops is quite obvious part of the hypothesis space if you see power-law-like data, you are almost guaranteed to find a paper which proposes something in that direction. However, note that article actually criticizes previous explanations based more on “Matthews effect”, and proposes disturbances as a critical part of the explanation.
(Btw I do not claim any dishonesty from the author anything like that.)
Something similar can be said about the Cambrian explosion which is the next link.
Halo and Horn effects are likely evolutionary adaptive effects, tracking something real (traits like “having an ugly face” and “having higher probability of ending up in trouble” are likely correlated—the common cause can be mutation load / parasite load; you have things like the positive manifold).
And so on.
Sorry but I will not dissect every paragraph of the article in this way. (Also it seems a bit futile, as if I dig into specific examples, it will be interpreted as nit-picking)
2. Last attempt to gesture toward whats wrong with this whole. The best approximation of the cluster of phenomena the article is pointing toward is not “preferential attachment” (as you propose), but something broader—“systems with feedback loops which can be in some approximation described by the differential equation dx = b.x”.
You can start to see systems like that everywhere, and get a sense of something deep, explaining life, universe and everything.
One problem with this: if you have a system described by a differential equation of the form “dx = f(x,..)”, and the function f() is reasonable, you can approximate it by its Taylor series “f(x)=a+b.x+c.x.x+..”. Obviously, the first order term is b.x. Unfortunately (?) you can say this even before looking on the system.
So, vaguely speaking, when you start thinking in this way, my intuition is it puts you in a big danger of conflating something about how you do approximations with causal explanations. (I guess it may be a good deal for many people who don’t have s-1 intuitions for Taylor series or even log() function)
I actually had some similar alarm bells go off for conflation of concepts in the op, especially because the post specifically gestures at one concept and doesn’t give explanations of the different examples where this might come up.
However, on second thought I think I do like the concept this builds. To phrase it in your formal terms, I think it’s very useful to notice all the systems in which the Taylor series for f has b>0, ESPECIALLY when it’s comparably easy to control f via b∗x rather than just a.
In this light, you can view momentum, exponential growth, heavy-tails, etc., as all cases where a main component of controlling or predicting future x is by paying attention to the b∗x term, and I claim this is an important revelation to have at a variety of levels.
Perhaps more relevant to your actual crux, I also get shudders when people overload physics terms with other meanings, but before they were physics terms they were concepts for intuitive things. Given that we view the world through physical metaphors, I think it’s quite important for us to use the best-fitting words for concepts. Then we can remind people of the different variants when people run into conflationary trouble. If we start off by naming things with poor associations we hold ourselves back more. If you have alternative name to “momentum” for this that you also think have good connotations though, I’d love to hear them.
The second thing first: ”...but before they were physics terms they were concepts for intuitive things” is actually not true in this case: momentum did not mean anything, before being coined in physics. Than, it become used in a metaphorical way, but mostly congruently with the original physics concepts, as something like “mass”x”velocity”. It seems to me easy to imagine vivid pictures based of this metaphor, like advancing army conquering mile after mile of enemy territory having a momentum, or a scholar going through page after page of a difficult text. However, this concept is not tied to the b∗x term (which is one of my cruxes).
To me, the original metaphorical meaning of momentum makes a lot of sense: you have a lot of systems where you have something like mass (closely connected to inertia: you need great force to get something massive to move) and something like velocity—direction and speed where the system is heading. I would expect most people have this on some level.
Now, to the first thing second: I agree that it may be useful to notice all the systems in which the Taylor series for f has b>0, ESPECIALLY when it’s comparably easy to control f via b∗x rather than just a. However, some of the examples in the original post do not match this pattern: some could be just systems where, for example, you insert heavy-tailed distribution on the input, and you get heavy-tailed distribution on the output, or systems where the a term is what you should control, or systems where you should actually understand more about f(x) than the fact that is is has positive first derivative at some point.
What should be a good name for b∗x>0 I don’t know, some random prosaic ideas are snowballing, compound, faenus (from latin interest on money, gains, profit, advantage), compound interest. But likely there are is some more poetic name, similarly to Moloch.