No, just no. You are being misled. Lots of people were sick in March and almost none of them caught it again in July. We know it’s a minimum of 4 months.
I have talked about this many times in my posts so I won’t say more here.
In some people, antibodies start to wane at that point, but they still have antibodies for some time. So there’s definitely at least some immunity for longer than that, plus other types of immunity (T-cell, etc.) Plus, if everyone is losing immunity over different time frames, they’re not going to contract it nearly as easily as when we were all at zero, since many others around them will still be immune. The staggering probably helps a lot. I think the same is true for colds, and I don’t get a cold every couple of months, though I know some people do. More like once a year, and colds are caused by a bunch of different viruses, so it’s not even once a year for each virus.
I thought that the data show that the immunity lasts maybe 2-3 months? If so, we will never get to 10%
No, just no. You are being misled. Lots of people were sick in March and almost none of them caught it again in July. We know it’s a minimum of 4 months.
I have talked about this many times in my posts so I won’t say more here.
In some people, antibodies start to wane at that point, but they still have antibodies for some time. So there’s definitely at least some immunity for longer than that, plus other types of immunity (T-cell, etc.) Plus, if everyone is losing immunity over different time frames, they’re not going to contract it nearly as easily as when we were all at zero, since many others around them will still be immune. The staggering probably helps a lot. I think the same is true for colds, and I don’t get a cold every couple of months, though I know some people do. More like once a year, and colds are caused by a bunch of different viruses, so it’s not even once a year for each virus.