I strongly advise you to immediately start donating something to somewhere, even if it’s $10/year to Methuselah. If there’s one thing you learn working in the nonprofit world, it’s that people who donated last year are likely to also donate this year, and people who last year planned to donate “next year” will this year be planning to donate “next year”.
Upon hearing this advice, I just donated $10 to SIAI, even though I consider this amount totally insignificant relative to my expected future donations. I will upvote anyone who does the same for any transhumanist charity.
Do you have an estimate of how much a new donor to SIAI is worth above and beyond their initial donation? How about given that I ask them to donate with money they were about to repay me anyway?
If it’s significant it could be well worth the social capital to spread your own donations among non-donor friends.
I figured that was covered by ‘much less good’; there are a lot of costs to delaying, if we wanted to enumerate them—risks of good charities going under, inflation and catastrophic economic events gnawing away at one’s stored value, the ever-present existential risks each year, etc.
I strongly advise you to immediately start donating something to somewhere, even if it’s $10/year to Methuselah. If there’s one thing you learn working in the nonprofit world, it’s that people who donated last year are likely to also donate this year, and people who last year planned to donate “next year” will this year be planning to donate “next year”.
Upon hearing this advice, I just donated $10 to SIAI, even though I consider this amount totally insignificant relative to my expected future donations. I will upvote anyone who does the same for any transhumanist charity.
Way to turn correlation-causality correlation into causality
Do you have an estimate of how much a new donor to SIAI is worth above and beyond their initial donation? How about given that I ask them to donate with money they were about to repay me anyway?
If it’s significant it could be well worth the social capital to spread your own donations among non-donor friends.
I plan to donate once I have X dollars of nonessential income, and yes, I have a specific value for X.
Did your calculations for X take into account discounting at 0-10%? Money for research years from now does much less good than money now.
No—thanks for the tip! I will adjust my calculations accordingly.
Or the cost of the research being delayed.
I figured that was covered by ‘much less good’; there are a lot of costs to delaying, if we wanted to enumerate them—risks of good charities going under, inflation and catastrophic economic events gnawing away at one’s stored value, the ever-present existential risks each year, etc.
Antiakrasia, future-self-influencing recommendation: if you can afford $10/year today, make sure your current level of giving is not zero.