Chances of being injured in head but not brain damaged are rather small, I think less than 10 per cent. So in 90 per cent of branches where shots were fired in his head directions, he is seriously injured or dead. However, climbing to roof without Secret Service reaction was also a very unlikely event. May be only 10 per cent chance of success.
Combining, I get 9 per cent of him being dead or seriously injured yesterday.
Chances of being injured in head but not brain damaged are rather small, I think less than 10 per cent. So in 90 per cent of branches where shots were fired in his head directions, he is seriously injured or dead.
However, climbing to roof without Secret Service reaction was also a very unlikely event. May be only 10 per cent chance of success.
Combining, I get 9 per cent of him being dead or seriously injured yesterday.