Ah, I get you now. I don’t know, of course; a and b could both be in the mix. I have had a similar feeling with an earlier piece on decision theory, which to me seemed (and still seems) so clearly wrong, and which got quite the upvotes. This isn’t meant to be too negative about that piece—it just seems people have very different intuitions about decision theory even after having thought (and read) about it quite a bit.
Ah, I get you now. I don’t know, of course; a and b could both be in the mix. I have had a similar feeling with an earlier piece on decision theory, which to me seemed (and still seems) so clearly wrong, and which got quite the upvotes. This isn’t meant to be too negative about that piece—it just seems people have very different intuitions about decision theory even after having thought (and read) about it quite a bit.