Why do others find Coin Flip Creation problems at all interesting? Is it because they a) have thought of said arguments and dismissed them (in which case, why? What am I missing?), b) because they haven’t thought of said arguments (in which case why not? I found it immediately apparent. Am I that much of an outlier?), or c) because of something else (if so, what?)
Ah, I get you now. I don’t know, of course; a and b could both be in the mix. I have had a similar feeling with an earlier piece on decision theory, which to me seemed (and still seems) so clearly wrong, and which got quite the upvotes. This isn’t meant to be too negative about that piece—it just seems people have very different intuitions about decision theory even after having thought (and read) about it quite a bit.
Perhaps I should rephrase:
Why do others find Coin Flip Creation problems at all interesting? Is it because they a) have thought of said arguments and dismissed them (in which case, why? What am I missing?), b) because they haven’t thought of said arguments (in which case why not? I found it immediately apparent. Am I that much of an outlier?), or c) because of something else (if so, what?)
Ah, I get you now. I don’t know, of course; a and b could both be in the mix. I have had a similar feeling with an earlier piece on decision theory, which to me seemed (and still seems) so clearly wrong, and which got quite the upvotes. This isn’t meant to be too negative about that piece—it just seems people have very different intuitions about decision theory even after having thought (and read) about it quite a bit.