I live in China. I want to verify that most of what Zvi is saying is correct. Things are actually a bit grimmer than he implied. Soon, in late January, there will come the single largest annual human migration known as Chinese New Year. Everyone goes home and visits their relatives, and no one I talked to seemed concerned enough about COVID to cancel their plans. Regardless of what happens before that point, I fully expect 90%+ of Chinese to be infected by mid-February.
So that’s, uh, 1 billion people infected in 2 months. I don’t know how many ventilators there are in the country, but I’ve read there are ~200,000 total critical care beds in the entire country, and I doubt there are more ventilators than beds. UPDATE: Estimate found, 80,000.
What are the estimated hospitalization/ventilation rates for an elderly unvaccinated population infected by Omicron? What is the death rate if they don’t get on a ventilator? I have no idea how this ends well.
I’m part of a 7-man work group. Over the past 3 days, 2 of us have been part of a 10-person batch that tested positive. We only test once every 3 days. So that’s 2⁄70 people infected in Shanghai right now. Both of my parents are positive. No one really seems concerned and mostly respond with a shrug.
Any idea where I can buy Plaxovid online? If you have any spares, feel free to DM me and name your price. I have elderly family members I’m trying to watch out for.
I live in China. I want to verify that most of what Zvi is saying is correct. Things are actually a bit grimmer than he implied. Soon, in late January, there will come the single largest annual human migration known as Chinese New Year. Everyone goes home and visits their relatives, and no one I talked to seemed concerned enough about COVID to cancel their plans. Regardless of what happens before that point, I fully expect 90%+ of Chinese to be infected by mid-February.
So that’s, uh, 1 billion people infected in 2 months. I don’t know how many ventilators there are in the country, but I’ve read there are ~200,000 total critical care beds in the entire country, and I doubt there are more ventilators than beds. UPDATE: Estimate found, 80,000.
What are the estimated hospitalization/ventilation rates for an elderly unvaccinated population infected by Omicron? What is the death rate if they don’t get on a ventilator? I have no idea how this ends well.
I’m part of a 7-man work group. Over the past 3 days, 2 of us have been part of a 10-person batch that tested positive. We only test once every 3 days. So that’s 2⁄70 people infected in Shanghai right now. Both of my parents are positive. No one really seems concerned and mostly respond with a shrug.
Any idea where I can buy Plaxovid online? If you have any spares, feel free to DM me and name your price. I have elderly family members I’m trying to watch out for.
I don’t know how promising this might be, but I saw the following yesterday via the Bountied Rationality facebook group after someone else posted an ad regarding possibly getting Paxlovid shipped to China: https://thehill.com/policy/healthcare/3775373-pfizer-signs-deal-to-sell-paxlovid-in-china-as-covid-cases-climb-report/