The prior probability of a simple explanation is inherently greater than the prior probability of a complex explanation.
If all evidence/​observation confirm both explanations equally, then the simple explanation still is on the lead: because it started out with a higher prior probability.
The prior probability of a simple explanation is inherently greater than the prior probability of a complex explanation.
If all evidence/​observation confirm both explanations equally, then the simple explanation still is on the lead: because it started out with a higher prior probability.